SERBIAN COMMENTARY SEES ALBANIAN DESIRE FOR UNIFIED TERRITORY AS SECURITY THREAT
BBC Monitoring International Reports - November 21, 2006 Tuesday

Text of commentary by Dusan Janjic, coordinator of the Forum for Ethnic Relations: "Threat of violence" published by the Serbian newspaper Politika on 17 November

The Serbo-Albanian clash over status reflects the two sides' aspirations to control territory and resources. It is estimated that Kosovo has a significant share of the world's reserves of lead, zinc, nickel, chromium, magnesium, and other minerals. There are also significant deposits of the strategic raw material boron, which is used to improve the rigidity of steel and is also used in nuclear reactors. The idea of controlling these resources has become a very powerful motivation that is manifested in frequent violations of human rights, violence, murders and expulsions. But it is precisely in that area that a resolution of the crisis is possible. If the conflict were to be resolved through a fair deal on the distribution of stock shares in privatization and joint projects (joint electric energy production, for example), the motivation for conflict could be turned around into energy for cooperation. That is an area where help could come from the formula of development instead of military and police control of a territory!

On the other hand, violence is one of the basic characteristics of life in Kosovo, especially in relation to Serbs and other ethnic and political minorities. In addition, the threat of Albanian extremism to regional stability and security has not been fully considered. There is a high risk of extremist activity and violence in Macedonia, the aim being to "remake" that country into a "bi-ethnic federation." Behind that threat lies the pan-Albanian ethno-nationalistic movement. The opening of talks on the future status of Kosovo intensified preparations by all interested parties and raised their expectations and fears. That was confirmed by the example of the Political Platform of Councilmen from Albanians of the Presevo Valley (the municipalities of Presevo, Bujanovac, and Medvedja), adopted on 4 January 2006. A sense of threat comes from the part of the platform that states that "until the regular question of Albanians in this valley is resolved, the entire region will be a constant hotbed and an obstacle to Euro-Atlantic integration."

The emergence of the OVK [Kosovo Liberation Army, KLA; UCK in Albanian] in Tuzi (Podgorica) in October 2006 raises new questions and trepidation concerning the persistence of the Albanians' efforts to achieve "unified ethnic territory" in the western Balkans and to destabilize Montenegro.

The unwillingness or inability to marginalize that movement is an indication of the alarming absence of democratic capacities in the Albanian community, which provokes suspicion and fear among neighbours. Of course, that suspicion is kept alive and occasionally strengthened by other ethnic nationalisms, especially the Serb kind. Moreover, it is widely believed by the Serbian and Macedonian public, and also among Albanians themselves, that there are groups of Albanian extremists and paramilitary organizations that enjoy NATO support and that they have their roots in the OVK era. It is also firmly believed that the OVK leadership is linked to the organized crime and drug trafficking network.

It is in Serbia's interest that Kosovo be stable. It would be dangerous for the entire Balkan region, but especially for Serbia, if Kosovo were to continue to develop into a sort of "Balkan Afghanistan." In that case, Kosovo would principally pose a threat in terms of the transfer of terrorism and organized crime, forcing Serbia to expend huge amounts on its military and police, which is to say on maintaining security.

Serbia should also demonstrate its interest in Kosovo's stability through concrete initiatives and activities. It would be best for that to come in the form of a "security package" that would be discussed within the process of defining the future status of Kosovo. Thus far, no such attempts have been made.

The "security package" should embrace the following premises:

The EU, the United States, and NATO should be the main factors of international influence in the Balkans, with a strong international presence and commitment led by the EU and the United States continuing most likely until the end of the next decade; the gradual elimination of ad hoc institutions such as UNMIK [UN Interim Administration Mission in Kosovo], the Stability Pact, and others, consolidation of the EU stabilization and association process, and the transfer of responsibilities to local leaders and communities; support for highly diverse forms of cooperation in the subregion, one possibility being the establishment of a Club of Shared Responsibility for Security in the Western Balkans, which would coordinate joint actions by Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and international and local authorities in Kosovo, NATO, and the EU in confronting security threats (organized crime, political extremism, and terrorism).

In the western Balkans today, there is no risk of a significant number of Muslims supporting Islamic extremists, but that does not mean that they do not exist. A few days spent in Southern Mitrovica or Pec in Kosovo, or in Novi Pazar in Sandzak, will be enough to sense the influence of the Wahhabi movement. The activities of some Islamic organizations in Bosnia and Kosovo could become extremely dangerous to security because those organizations promote radical Islam, which is irreconcilable with democratic societies and multiethnic environments. Under circumstances of limited support, those groups could become attractive to a populace traumatized by fighting. Hence the need to carefully track the activities of Islamic organizations in Bosnia and Kosovo, especially those linked to terrorist networks.


Source: Politika, Belgrade, in Serbian 17 Nov 06

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Copyright 2006 BBC Monitoring/BBC Source: Financial Times Information Limited

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