2008 SERBIAN ELECTION RESULTS

SERBIAN ELECTION RESULTS: SPS AND DSS HOLD THE KEY
www.slobodan-milosevic.org - May 12, 2008

Analysis by: Andy Wilcoxson

According to the Serbian Electoral Commission (RIK), 61.01% of the electorate turned out to vote in Serbia's May 11 parliamentary elections. The results of the poll were as follows:

Party	Votes	Seats
For European Serbia Coalition - Boris Tadic	1,561,465	102
Serbian Radical Party	1,177,214	77
DSS-NS Coalition	457,092	30
SPS-PUPS-JS Coalition	305,057	20
LDP	213,749	14
The Hungarian Coalition	74,819	4
European Sandzak - Sulejman Ugljanin	37,184	2
The Albanian Coalition of Presevo Valley	15,834	1
Based on 95.16% of polling stations processed; May 12.

The Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) and the Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) will determine the orientation of the new Serbian Government as no single party or coalition won an outright majority of votes.

A coalition of the Serbian Radical Party (SRS), Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), and Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) would be enough to form a majority government and defeat the coalition of Boris Tadic's Democratic Party (DS). However, if either the DSS or the SPS refuse a coalition with the Radicals, the new government will be led by Tadic's European Serbia Coalition, which is made-up of the DS, G17+, SDP, LSV, and SPO parties.

Combined the SRS and the DSS have 107 seats, which is enough to defeat the 102 seats garnered by the DS coalition. However, in that scenario, a DS-LDP coalition of 116 seats would likely be formed. This is why the Socialists must be included in any alliance between the SRS and the DSS. Likewise, the 97 combined seats of the SRS and SPS would not be enough to defeat Tadic's DS coalition.

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